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A valid asymptotic expansion for the covariance of functions of multivariate normal vectors is applied to approximate autovariances of time series generated by nonlinear transformation of Gaussian latent variates, and nonlinear functions of these, with special reference to long memory stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005670798
Much time series data are recorded on economic and financial variables. Statistical modelling of such data is now very well developed, and has applications in forecasting. We review a variety of statistical models from the viewpoint of ‘memory’, or strength of dependence across time, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010928635
Much time series data are recorded on economic and financial variables. Statistical modelling of such data is now very well developed, and has applications in forecasting. We review a variety of statistical models from the viewpoint of 'memory', or strength of dependence across time, which is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005151143
The estimation of the memory parameter in perturbed long memory series has recently attracted attention motivated especially by the strong persistence of the volatility in many financial and economic time series and the use of Long Memory in Stochastic Volatility (LMSV) processes to model such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706257
We propose a semiparametric local polynomial Whittle with noise estimator of the memory parameter in long memory time series perturbed by a noise term which may be serially correlated. The estimator approximates the log-spectrum of the short-memory component of the signal as well as that of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008470240
The estimation of the memory parameter in perturbed long memory series has recently attracted attention motivated especially by the strong persistence of the volatility in many financial and economic time series and the use of Long Memory in Stochastic Volatility (LMSV) processes to model such a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005187611
This paper examines the degree of persistence in the volatility of financial time series using a Long Memory Stochastic Volatility (LMSV) model. Specifically, it employs a Gaussian semiparametric (or local Whittle) estimator of the memory parameter, based on the frequency domain, proposed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008584359
Strong persistence is a common phenomenon that has been documented not only in the levels but also in the volatility of many time series. The class of doubly fractional models is extended to include the possibility of long memory in cyclical (non-zero) frequencies in both the levels and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009197274
Under rather general conditions Black - Scholes implied volatilities from at-the-money options appropriately quantify, in each period, the market expectations of the average volatility of the return of the underlying asset until contract expiration. The efficiency of these expectation estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008836760
We propose a semiparametric local polynomial Whittle with noise estimator of the memory parameter in long memory time series perturbed by a noise term which may be serially correlated. The estimator approximates the log-spectrum of the short-memory component of the signal as well as that of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052305