reflected in the forecasting capabilities of professional analysts: all in all, analysts are not in a position to beat naïve … environment, we analyse the forecasting behaviour of students experimentally, using a simulated currency series. Our results … indicate that topically-oriented trend adjustment behaviour (TOTA) is a general characteristic of human forecasting behaviour …

’s financial stress index appear to be strong at almost all horizons and sub-periods. However, the forecasting prowess of the …

’s financial stress index appear to be strong at almost all horizons and sub-periods. However, the forecasting prowess of the …

the random walk model, suggests that the forecasting performance of the monetary model is superior. …

This paper describes the OECD’s new small global forecasting model for the three main OECD economic regions: the United … starting point to help animate the early stages of the OECD’s forecasting round. The model is essentially a demand-side model …

The main ideas in this paper are: (a) that CGE models can be used in forecasting; and (b) that forecasts matter for …

practical implications, our forecasting results provide perhaps the most convincing evidence to date that the exchange rate …,b) literature on forecasting exchange rates, we find that the reverse forecasting regression does not survive out-of-sample testing …