practical implications, our forecasting results provide perhaps the most convincing evidence to date that the exchange rate …,b) literature on forecasting exchange rates, we find that the reverse forecasting regression does not survive out-of-sample testing …

This paper presents an exchange rate forecasting model which combines the multi-state Markov-switching model with …

The main ideas in this paper are: (a) that CGE models can be used in forecasting; and (b) that forecasts matter for …

This paper reviews the main monthly indicators that could help forecasting world trade and compares different type of … forecasting models using these indicators. In particular it develops dynamic factor models (DFM) which have the advantage of … and information technology indices. The comparison of the forecasting performance of the DFMs with more traditional bridge …

…ndings provide an easy-to-use method for conducting mixed data-sampling analysis as well as for forecasting world commodity price …

markets. We analyze the respective forecasting accuracy and our results indicate that there exist substantial differences …

reflected in the forecasting capabilities of professional analysts: all in all, analysts are not in a position to beat naïve … environment, we analyse the forecasting behaviour of students experimentally, using a simulated currency series. Our results … indicate that a topically oriented trend adjustment behaviour (TOTA) is a general characteristic of human forecasting behaviour …

reflected in the forecasting capabilities of professional analysts: all in all, analysts are not in a position to beat naïve … environment, we analyse the forecasting behaviour of students experimentally, using a simulated currency series. Our results … indicate that topically-oriented trend adjustment behaviour (TOTA) is a general characteristic of human forecasting behaviour …