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This article investigates the potential of nonlinear causal relationships between world oil prices and stock markets in MENA countries during a black swan period that is characterized by rarity and devastating impacts. By using the nonlinear and asymmetric causality test of Kyrtsou and Labys...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754797
Past studies suggest that the Islamic finance system is only weakly linked or even decoupled from conventional markets. If this statement is true, then this system may provide a cushion against potential losses resulting from probable future financial crises. In this article, we make use of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729421
This paper explores the relevance of asymmetry and long memory in modeling and forecasting the
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860460
This paper analyzes the short-term dynamics of the prices of CO2 emissions, using the vector autoregression (VAR) and the vector error-correction Models (VECM). The data are monthly for the prices of oil, coal, natural gas, electricity and carbon emission allowances. The results show that: (i) a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860501
In this article, we show how the copula-GARCH approach can be appro- priately used to investigate the conditional dependence structure between the crude oil and natural gas markets as well as to derive implications for port- folio risk management in extreme economic conditions. Using daily price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929408
We use the recently developed nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags (NARDL) model to examine the pass-through of changes in crude oil prices, natural gas prices, coal prices and electricity prices to the CO2 emission allowance prices. This approach allows one to simultaneously test the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754725
This paper examines the dependence structure between the emerging stock markets of the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) and influential global factors (the S&P 500 index, the commodity markets, the global stock market uncertainty and the US economic policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754739
We use a quantile regression framework to investigate the impact of changes in crude oil pric- es, natural gas prices, coal prices, and electricity prices on the distribution of the CO2 emis- sion allowance prices in the United States. We find that: (i) an increase in the crude oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754745
This article attempts to examine whether the equity premium in the United States can be predicted from a comprehensive set of 18 economic and financial predictors over a monthly out-of-sample period of 2000:2 to 2011:12, using an in-sample period of 1990:2-2000:1. To do so, we consider, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754801
Over the past decade, the sharp increases in the prices of oil and agricultural commodities have raised serious concerns about the heightened volatility of these markets and the possible negative interactions between them. This article deals with the dynamic return and volatility spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754812