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In this paper we consider financial time series from U.S. Fixed Income Market, S&P500, DJ Eurostoxx 50, Dow Jones,Mibtel and Nikkei 225. It is well known that financial time series reveal some anomalies regarding the EfficientMarketHypothesis and some scaling behaviour, such as fat tails and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008455826
We study the temporal variability of human brain activity in timeseries of functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) data. We find that these timeseries show scaling behavior which is quantified by computing various scaling exponents. We demonstrate that mentally active zones are one-to-one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010872114
This discussion does not go into specific statistical details. It expresses the impressions of a climatologist when reading a paper about statistical methodologies applied on climate timeseries. Thus the main goal of the discussion is a typical interdisciplinary one. Some of the statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010998686
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008775832
The current economic crisis requires fast information to predict economic behavior early, which is difficult at times of structural changes. This paper suggests an innovative new method of using data on internet activity for that purpose. It demonstrates strong correlations between keyword...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963751
This paper provides a selective overview of nonlinear exchange rate models recently proposed in the literature and assesses their contribution to understanding exchange rate behavior. Two key questions are examined. The first question is whether nonlinear autoregressive models of real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825647
Measuring and managing exchange rate risk exposure is important for reducing a firm's vulnerabilities from major exchange rate movements, which could adversely affect profit margins and the value of assets. This paper reviews the traditional types of exchange rate risk faced by firms, namely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825991
Exchange rate flexibility has facilitated an impressively fast insertion of the Czech koruna and the Polish zloty into the global currency market. However, exchange rate volatility patterns differ: Lower volatility is observed for the koruna against the euro relative to the U.S. dollar, while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826189
The medium-term predictability of exchange rate movements is examined using three models of fundamentals: purchasing power parity, the monetary model, and uncovered interest parity. While the first two approaches yield favorable in-sample results, these largely reflect finite-sample estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826261
We combine signal processing to machine learning methodologies by introducing a hybrid Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD), Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) and Support Vector Regression (SVR) model in order to forecast the monthly and daily Euro (EUR)/United States...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245923