Showing 1 - 10 of 22
Both credit default swap (CDS) and options markets often experience abnormal swings prior to the announcement of negative credit news. With the exclusion of negative earnings announcements, we find that options prices reveal information about such forthcoming adverse events at least as early as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005073589
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010969472
We develop an equilibrium model for origination fees charged by mortgage bro- kers and show how the equilibrium fee distribution depends on borrowers' valua- tion for their loans and their information about fees. We use non-crossing quantile regressions and data from a large subprime lender to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010945081
This paper estimates the price for restructuring risk in the US corporate bond market during 1999-2005. Comparing quotes from default swap (CDS) contracts with a restructuring event and without, we find that the average premium for restructuring risk represents 6%-8% of the swap rate without...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008874746
Bank credit has evolved from the traditional relationship banking model to an originate-to-distribute model. We show that the borrowers whose loans are sold in the secondary market underperform their peers by about 9% per year (risk-adjusted) over the three-year period following the initial sale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005006156
We develop a method for identifying and quantifying the fiscal channels that help finance government spending shocks. We define fiscal shocks as surprises in defense spending and show that they are more precisely identified when defense stock data are used in addition to aggregate macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005073526
We identify a common default risk premia (DRP) factor in the risk-adjusted excess returns on pure default-contingent claims. Asset pricing tests using almost 50 corporate bond portfolios sorted on rating, maturity or industry suggest that the DRP factor is priced in the corporate bond market....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005073533
This paper employs non-parametric specification tests developed in Hong and Li (2005) to evaluate several one-factor reduced-form credit risk models for actual default intensities. Using estimates for actual default probabilities provided by Moody’s KMV from 1994 to 2005 for 106 U.S. firms in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005073557
I extract credit pricing information from the prices of callable corporate debt, by disentangling the components of callable corporate bond prices associated with discounting at market interest rates, discounting for default risk, and optionality. The results include the first empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005073569
This paper estimates recent default risk premia for U.S. corporate debt, based on a close relationship between default probabilities, as estimated by the Moody’s KMV EDF measure, and market default swap (CDS) rates. The default-swap data, obtained by CIBC from a large number of dealers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005085455