A method is introduced for assessing the probabilities and intensities of tropical cyclones at landfall and applied to data from the North Atlantic. First, a recently developed model for the basin-wide Monte-Carlo simulation of tropical cyclone tracks is enhanced and transferred to the North...

A stochastic model for the tracks of tropical cyclones that allows for the computerised generation of a large number of synthetic cyclone tracks is introduced. This will provide a larger dataset than previously available for the assessment of risks in areas affected by tropical cyclones. To...

We consider a spatial stochastic model for the simulation of tropical cyclone tracks, which has recently been introduced. Cyclone tracks are represented as labeled polygonal lines, which are described by the movement directions, translational speeds, and wind speeds of the cyclones in regular...

Tropical cyclones that make landfall on the coast of the USA are causing increasing economic losses. It is assumed that the losses are largely due to socio-economic developments, i.e. growing wealth and greater settlement of exposed areas. However, it is also thought that the rise in losses is...

Economic losses caused by tropical cyclones have increased dramatically. It can be assumed that most losses are due to increased prosperity and a greater tendency for people to settle in exposed areas, but also that the growing incidence of severe cyclones is due to climate change. This paper...

An der Atlantikküste der USA haben die ökonomischen Schäden durch tropische Wirbelstürme in den letzten zehn Jahren dramatisch zugenommen. Es ist anzunehmen, dass ein Großteil der wirtschaftlichen Schäden darauf zurückzuführen ist, dass der Wohlstand der Bevölkerung gestiegen ist und...

Munich Re's Geo Risks Research unit has been researching loss events caused by natural hazards around the globe for more than 30 years and has documented them in the NatCatSERVICE database. The data clearly show a dramatic increase in natural catastrophes around the globe. As the rise in the...

By providing financial security against droughts, floods, tropical cyclones and other forms of weather extremes, insurance instruments present an opportunity for developing countries in their concurrent efforts to reduce poverty and adapt to climate change. By pricing risk, insurance provides...

Distributional properties are considered of the typical cell of stationary iterated tessellations (SIT), which are generated by stationary Poisson-Voronoi tessellations (SPVT) and stationary Poisson line tessellations (SPLT), respectively. Using Neveu’s exchange formula, the typical cell of...

Distributional properties are considered of the typical cell of stationary iterated tessellations (SIT), which are generated by stationary Poisson-Voronoi tessellations (SPVT) and stationary Poisson line tessellations (SPLT), respectively. Using Neveu’s exchange formula, the typical cell of...