We analyze the return of the S & P 500 index and characterize its evolution as being typical of a low-dimensional recurrent deterministic system. The first Poincaré return time of the chaotic logistic mapping trajectories is used to model the return evolution. The efficiency of the model is...

We analyze fluctuating observables of high-dimensional systems as the New York Stock Market S&P 500 index, the amino-acid sequence in the M. genitalium DNA, the maximum temperature of the San Francisco Bay area, and the toroidal magneto plasma potential. The probability measures of these...

The correctness of the macroeconomic prospective evaluations for planning activities, mainly for capital intensive sectors, such as electricity supply, may represent the key between the success or failure of any kind of money-spending scheme. Macroeconomical results derived from government...

This paper deals with the epistemologic problem of searching for experimental evidences of a particular economic model theory. The difficulties of such tasks are well-known due to the peculiarities of the economic system, mainly related to the non-repetitiousness of experiments. Thus, indirect...

The present complexity approach is based on two assumptions: A1: measurability of deviations of outcomes with respect to reference values; A2 : extension of A1 to multi-set analysis. Complexity is then defined in terms of multi-set deviation compared to single-set ones; an interpretation is...

We present a general methodology to incorporate fundamental economic factors to the theory of herding developed in our group to describe bubbles and antibubbles. We start from the strong form of rational expectation and derive the general method to incorporate factors in addition to the...