Demand for industrial raw materials from emerging economies, particularly emerging Asia, is widely believed to have fueled the surge in oil and industrial commodity prices during 2002-2008. The paper first presents a simple storage model in which commodity prices respond to market...

The intertemporal approach to the current account suggests modeling movements in the current account in a forward-looking, dynamic framework. In this framework, the current account reflects consumption smoothing of agents that lend and borrow from the rest of the world in the face of transitory...

This paper uses the VAR framework introduced in McCarthy (1999) to investigate the nature and extent of pass-through to prices in Turkey. Furthermore, Threshold VAR (TVAR) models are used to assess the possibility of asymmetries in the pass-through. Annual change in the industrial production...

This paper develops a theory of debt management in which government financing decisions have distributional consequences. We consider a constant aggregate endowment economy in which the government finances exogenous stochastic public spending needs with uniform lump sum taxes and...

This paper studies the role of education in women's changing role in the labor and marriage markets since the 1960's.

The global economic and financial instability context of the 1990s and 2000s also affected the Turkish economy. Actually, the 1980s in Turkey are characterized by a radical transformation of its economy through significant efforts of liberalization. With an out-looking economy and a liberalized...

The goal of this paper is to develop formal techniques for analyzing the relative in-sample performance of two competing, misspecified models in the presence of possible data instability. The central idea of our methodology is to propose a measure of the models' local relative performance: the...

quantifying gravity- and border-effects in price setting behavior.

In traditional auction theory, the auctioneer is usually treated as a non-entity or someone whose incentives are completely aligned with the seller's. In reality, quite frequently that is not the case. Many auctions are administered by third party auctioneers who do not own the product and get a...

Third, there is no general way to Pareto rank the equlibria.