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We develop a sovereign debt model with official and private creditors where default risk depends on both the level and … presence of long-term debt overhang, the availability of official funds increases the probability of default on existing debt …, although default does not trigger exclusion from private credit markets. These findings help shed light on joint default and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010681218
A vast and growing empirical literature aims at identifying key determinants of sovereign default. The literature is … of sovereign default? We use a variant of Extreme Bound Analysis (EBA) to examine if any of the conclusions from the … existing studies on the determinants of sovereign default is robust to small changes in the conditioning information set. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010930955
This paper analyzes the role played by the IMF in eight recent sovereign debt restructurings from a comparative perspective: Argentina (2001-2005), the Dominican Republic (2004-2005), Ecuador (1999-2000), Pakistan (1998-2001), the Russian Federation (1998-2001), Serbia (2000-2004), Ukraine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590736
Sovereign debt restructurings do constitute a recurrent phenomenon in emerging and developing economies. Consequently, the international community has repeatedly explored options to increase the predictability and orderliness of debt workouts, of which the debate on the Sovereign Debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005163314
one-period debt and can renege on its obligations by suffering a stochastic default cost. When faced with a credible … default threat, creditors can make a take-it-or-leave-it debt haircut offer to the sovereign. The risk of renegotiation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276380
the gains from default induced redistribution against the cost of defaulting. Ex ante, the government issues debt of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004970316
unless the perceived probability of default is too small. Nevertheless, at low ratings this relevance can be weakened by an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099640
We shed light on the function, properties and optimal size of austerity using the standard sovereign debt model augmented to include incomplete information about credit risk. Austerity is defined as the shortfall of consumption from the level desired by a country and supported by its repayment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011105366
We shed light on the function, properties and optimal size of austerity using the standard sovereign model augmented to include incomplete information about credit risk. Austerity is defined as the shortfall of consumption from the level desired by a country and supported by its repayment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011122548
the time-path of consumption. Altruism towards parents influences incentives to default. If altruism is low, voters demand … human capital discourages investment in private and public capital. The threat of default enters as a constraint that may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877813