This paper applies cDCC model to compare the dynamic correlations between oil prices and exchange rates of G20 members. The significant shifts in the correlations are then endogenously detected. For each pair of oil price-exchange rate, empirical evidence confirms of a strengthening negative...

This paper analyzes the origins of currency crises for 20 OECD countries and South Africa from 1970 through 1998. The main contributions are in three areas. First, it tests for contagious crises and attempts to recognize contagion channels by employing a duration analysis. Second, to minimize...

How much of carry trade excess returns can be explained by the presence of disaster risk? To answer this question, we propose a simple structural model that includes both Gaussian and disaster risk premia and can be estimated even in samples that do not contain disasters. The model points to a...

My research paper aims at analyzing the relationship which exists between macroeconomic situation and the indicators that measure the quality of the credits in the Albanian bank system for the period 2002-2010. The results of the research work have proved the raised hypothesis that the...

This study analyzes the dynamic relationship between exchange rate (against US dollar), interest rate and the stock market (both in local currency) of Turkey from January 2003 to September 2013. In particular, the paper tries to answer if the correlations between these important variables change...

While most macroeconomic indicators, analyzed on a longer period of time, may indicate the "health" of an economy, the exchange rate evolution reveals, generally, the increase or decrease, non seldom brutal, of the "temperature" of an economy. Thus, the analysis of the exchange rates evolution...

Using generalized Hurst exponent, we investigate the presence of long-range dependence in the stock markets and exchange rates (vis-a-vis US dollar) of all in ation targeting countries having oating currencies. Many studies with a data set from pre-2008 crisis and that developed markets are less...

This paper addresses difficulties in modelling exchange rates in South Africa. Real exchange rate models of earlier research seem to be sensitive to the sample period considered, alternative variable definition, data frequency and estimation methods. Alternative exchange rate models proposed in...

We analyze the impact of macroeconomic news and central bank communication on the exchange rates of three Central and Eastern European (CEE) currencies against the euro. In doing so, we first estimate standard and extended versions of the monetary model to capture deviations from the long-term...