Motivated by the great moderation in major U.S. macroeconomic time series, we formulate the regime switching problem through a conditional Markov chain. We model the long-run volatility change as a recurrent structure change, while short-run changes in the mean growth rate as regime switches....

High dimensional factor models can involve thousands of parameters. The Jacobian matrix for identification is of a large dimension. It can be difficult and numerically inaccurate to evaluate the rank of such a Jacobian matrix. We reduce the identification problem to a small rank problem, which...

We propose a simple and intuitive method for estimating betas when factors are measured with error: ordinary least squares instrumental variable estimator (OLIVE). OLIVE performs well when the number of instruments becomes large, while the performance of conventional instrumental variable...

The paper proposes statistics to test the null hypothesis of no cointegration in panel data when common factors drive the cross sectional dependence. We consider both the case in which regressors are independent of the common factors and the case in which regressors are correlated with the...

This paper studies the weak convergence of the sequential empirical process $\hat{K}_n$ of the estimated residuals in ARMA(p,q) models when the errors are independent and identically distributed. It is shown that, under some mild conditions, $\hat{K}_n$ converges weakly to a Kiefer process. The...

This paper considers a mean shift with an unknown shift point in a linear process and estimates the unknown shift point (change point) by the method of least squares. Pre-shift and post-shift means are estimated concurrently with the change point. The consistency and the rate of convergence for...

This paper analyzes multifactor models in the presence of a large number of potential observable risk factors and unobservable common and group-specific pervasive factors. We show how relevant observable factors can be found from a large given set and how to determine the number of common and...

This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of the panel data models with interactive effects. Motivated in economics and other social sciences, a notable feature of the model is that the explanatory variables are correlated with the unobserved effects. The usual within-group...

We consider the problem of testing for slope homogeneity in high-dimensional panel data models with cross-sectionally correlated errors. We consider a Swamy-type test for slope homogeneity by incorporating interactive fixed effects. We show that the proposed test statistic is asymptotically...