Showing 1 - 10 of 18,736
This study investigates the relationship between inflation, inflation uncertainty and output in Tunisia using real and … nominal data. GARCH-in-mean model with lagged variance equation is employed for the analysis. The result shows that inflation … uncertainty has a positive and significant effect on the level of inflation only in the real term. Moreover, inflation uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956143
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to establish a link between inflation uncertainty and interest rates for five … inflation-targeting countries. Design/methodology/approach – The approach takes the form of a time-varying parameter model with … and structural uncertainty. Findings – This study attempts to establish a link between inflation uncertainty and interest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010814543
This paper investigates the links between inflation, its uncertainty and economic growth in five ASEAN countries over … three variables. The major findings are: (i) inflation uncertainty increases more in response to positive inflation … surprises than to negative surprises in all countries; (ii) inflationary shocks affect positively inflation uncertainty as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729126
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963627
monthly inflation in India in the period 1957-2005, with causation running from inflation to uncertainty about future … inflation, as hypothesized by Friedman. To the extent that inflation uncertainty has negative output effects, this strengthens …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824040
We use a Markov regime-switching heteroskedasticity model in order to examine the association between inflation and … inflation uncertainty in four European countries over the last forty years. This approach allows for regime shifts in both the … mean and variance of inflation in order to assess the association between inflation and its uncertainty in short and long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004971109
The paper considers interrelation between inflation and inflation uncertainty in Latvia. The monthly growth in CPI in … the period from January 1994 to June 2007 has been used as an inflation measure. The application of the GARCH-M model with … lagged inflation in GARCH equation proves that a positive relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty does exist …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005012869
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013037
This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in twelve EMU countries. A time …-varying GARCH model is estimated to distinguish between short-run and steady-state inflation uncertainty. The effects of the …-state inflation has generally remained stable, steady-state inflation uncertainty and inflation persistence have both increased, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005456423
This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in twelve EMU countries. A time …-varying GARCH model is estimated to distinguish between short-run and steady-state inflation uncertainty. The effects of the …-state inflation has generally remained stable, steady-state inflation uncertainty and inflation persistence have both increased, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406171