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forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that using more flexible models leads to a better in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137361
forecasting the term structure of interest rates. As expected, I find that using more flexible models leads to a better in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256459
The author estimates the Czech Treasury yield curve at a daily frequency from 1999 to the present. He uses the parsimonious yield curve model of Nelson and Siegel (1987), for which he suggests a parameter restriction that avoids abrupt changes in parameter estimates and thus allows for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008753449
We estimate a model with latent factors that summarize the yield curve (namely, level, slope, and curvature) as well as observable macroeconomic variables (real activity, inflation, and the stance of monetary policy). Our goal is to provide a characterization of the dynamic interactions between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958662
We estimate a model with latent factors that summarize the yield curve (namely, level, slope, and curvature) as well as observable macroeconomic variables (real activity, inflation, and the stance of monetary policy). Our goal is to provide a characterization of the dynamic interactions between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005120771
this information improves density forecasting performance. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010822928
We derive the class of arbitrage-free affine dynamic term structure models that approximate the widely-used Nelson-Siegel yield-curve specification. Our theoretical analysis relates this new class of models to the canonical representation of the three-factor arbitrage-free affine model. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005150186
analysis, we make use of a simple parameter representing the relative forecast performance to compare forecasting results of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011249366
We define a parameter representing the relative forecast performance to compare forecasting results of different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011157007
paid to the key practical problem of forecasting the yield curve. In this paper we do so. We use neither the no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958623