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We present a simple macrodynamic model of the real-financial markets inter action with a dynamic multiplier representing the goods market and a structured portfolio choice between money holdings and equities. This is contrasted with Blanchard’s (1981) alternative approach, where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133350
The main objective of the present paper is to investigate explicitly the role of the state of confidence for the macroeconomic dynamics of two interacting economies using the opinion dy- namics approach by Weidlich and Haag (1983) and Lux (1995). Particularly, the overall state of confidence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011162567
We analyze how the impact of a change in the sovereign debt-to-GDP ratio on economic growth depends on the state of the financial market. A dynamic growth model is put forward demonstrating that debt affects macroeconomic activity in a non-linear manner due to amplifi- cations from the financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011164272
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168848
Are financial cycles an international phenomenon, and, if so, how do financial cycles interact? This letter provides new evidence for the US and the UK. Considering the properties of the data in both the time and the frequency domains, we find a strong relation between the financial cycles of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011265673
Against the background of the recent housing boom and bust in countries such as Spain and Ireland, we investigate in this paper the macroeconomic consequences of cross-border banking in monetary unions such as the euro area. For this purpose, we incorporate in an otherwise standard two-region...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011211917
The paper investigates the emergence of complex market expectations (opinion dynamics) around nominal exchange rate adjustments using a macro-financial model of a small open economy featuring heterogeneous expectation formation (chartists and fundamentalists) and gradual adjustment processes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011182988
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196536
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196537
The paper posits the existence of a minimum mark-up loan interest rate threshold, which is identified using a long-term bank demand curve for excess reserves. At the threshold rate, the risk adjusted marginal revenue is equal to the marginal cost of extending loans. An excess reserves-loan (RL)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011196541