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condition; iii) no clear evidence of causality between oil and Italian agri-commodities, suggesting that the oil volatility is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010913861
inputs capital and labour. We also find some evidence of bidirectional causality between GDP and energy use. Although the … evidence of causality from energy use to GDP was relatively weak when using the thermal aggregate of energy use, once energy … consumption was adjusted for energy quality, we found strong evidence of Granger causality from energy use to GDP in Australia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010588000
Granger causality test, a unidirectional causality was detected, running from farm gate to export prices, and from wholesale … to export prices. In addition, there was bidirectional causality in other three price relationships: between retail and … export prices; between wholesale and retail; between farm gate and retail. The results from Granger causality test together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010598550
and between volatility and returns. We have used the vector autoregression based Granger causality framework to examine … the linear causality, while the non-linear causality have been investigated using bivariate noisy Macke-Glass model which … has been used so far in only economic and commodity data sets. The results of linear and non-linear causality show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816694
disaggregate levels and provide empirical evidence of temporal causality between crime, health, income, divorce, urbanization and … causality tests and variance decompositions. Findings – The empirical results suggest the existence of cointegration amongst the … variables. Augmented Granger causality tests and variance decomposition analyses indicate the different level, long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010561113
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005037349
This paper proposes a dynamic model of financial markets where some investors are prone to the confirmation bias. Following insights from the psychological literature, these agents are assumed to amplify signals that are consistent with their prior views. In a model with public information only,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010852312
The most common mode of inference for order restricted models is likelihood inference. See T. Robertson, F. T. Wright, and R. L. Dykstra (1988, "Order Restricted Statistical Inference," Wiley, New York) for an excellent treatment of inference in such models. In this paper we demonstrate that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005153175
This paper proposes a dynamic model of financial markets where some investors are prone to the confirmation bias. Following insights from the psychological literature, these agents are assumed to amplify signals that are consistent with their prior views. In a model with public information only,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010549207
We investigate whether momentum or reversal is the dominant phenomenon in short horizon (one- to four-week) foreign … rather than reversal. Momentum strategy returns are as large as 8% p.a. The short-term momentum effect appears to be robust …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010869428