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Win-stay, lose-shift strategies in repeated games are based on an aspiration level. Amove is repeated if and only if the outcome, in the previous round, was satisficing in the sense that the payoff was at least as high as the aspiration level. We investigate the conditions under which adaptive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837807
Multi-period risk functionals assign a risk value to discrete-time stochastic processes. While convexity and monotonicity extend in straightforward manner from the single-period case, the role of information is more problematic in the multi-period situation. In this paper, we define multi-period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010883197
In the present paper we demonstrate a mid-term planning model for thermal power generation which is based on multistage stochastic optimization and involves stochastic electricity spot prices, mixture of fuels with stochastic prices, the effect of CO2 emission prices and various types of further...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010687542
We demonstrate how the problem of determining the ask price for electricity swing options can be considered as a stochastic bilevel program with asymmetric information. Unlike as for financial options, there is no way for basing the pricing method on no-arbitrage arguments. Two main situations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011097673
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011037756
This paper addresses law invariant coherent risk measures and their Kusuoka representations. By elaborating the existence of a minimal representation we show that every Kusuoka representation can be reduced to its minimal representation. Uniqueness -- in a sense specified in the paper -- of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610588
Stochastic optimization problems often involve the expectation in its objective. When risk is incorporated in the problem description as well, then risk measures have to be involved in addition to quantify the acceptable risk, often in the objective. For this purpose it is important to have an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010600094
The 1/N investment strategy, i.e. the strategy to split one’s wealth uniformly between the available investment possibilities, recently received plenty of attention in the literature. In this paper, we demonstrate that the uniform investment strategy is rational in situations where an agent is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010577944
Risk measures, or coherent measures of risk, are often considered on the space L∞, and important theorems on risk measures build on that space. Other risk measures, among them the most important risk measure–the Average Value-at-Risk–are well defined on the larger space L1 and this seems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011046630
The net-premium principle is considered to be the most genuine and fair premium principle in actuarial applications. However, an insurance company, applying the net-premium principle, goes bankrupt with probability one in the long run, even if the company covers its entire costs by collecting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010634068