general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates. Since lower fertility … mobility is high in China, a low fertility rate implies more future capital outflows. But if capital is less mobile, low … fertility today lowers the domestic return to capital and raises the domestic return to labor. In addition, the paper finds no …

reassess national savings behavior, with greater prominence and more careful consideration given to the role played by changing … literature. Going further, we simulate global savings behavior based on our framework and find that China’s demographics should … decades, individual countries’ convergence toward the simulated savings pattern will be influenced by their past divergences …

fertility, and (iv) there is a need for more public spending on childcare for age 6-11 in Japan and Korea to help women continue …