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We investigate how the choice of decision makers can be varied under the presence of risk and uncertainty. Our analysis is based on the approach we have previously applied to individual decision makers, which we now generalize to the case of decision makers that are members of a society. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907971
The idea is advanced that self-organization in complex systems can be treated as decision making (as it is performed by humans) and, vice versa, decision making is nothing but a kind of self-organization in the decision maker nervous systems. A mathematical formulation is suggested based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011010876
We introduce and study a non-equilibrium continuous-time dynamical model of the price of a single asset traded by a population of heterogeneous interacting agents in the presence of uncertainty and regulatory constraints. The model takes into account (i) the price formation delay between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083837
Decision making of agents who are members of a society is analyzed from the point of view of quantum decision theory. This generalizes the approach, developed earlier by the authors for separate individuals, to decision making under the influence of social interactions. The generalized approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009649839
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009282494
A theory of exceptional extreme events, characterized by their abnormal sizes compared with the rest of the distribution, is presented. Such outliers, called "dragon-kings", have been reported in the distribution of financial drawdowns, city-size distributions (e.g., Paris in France and London...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010600041
Following the ideas of Bohr, Von Neumann, and Benioff, we formulate quantum decision theory (QDT) as the quantum-mechanical theory of measurement for probability operators. QDT captures the effect of superposition of composite prospects, including many incorporated intentions. It is based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162985
One of the most complex systems is the human brain whose formalized functioning is characterized by decision theory. We present a "Quantum Decision Theory" of decision-making, based on the mathematical theory of separable Hilbert spaces. This mathematical structure captures the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008672365
Two possible definitions of fixed points in the self-similar analysis of time series are considered. One definition is based on the minimal-difference condition and another, on a simple averaging. From studying stock market time series, one may conclude that these two definitions are practically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005083704
A novel approach to analyzing time series generated by complex systems, such as markets, is presented. The basic idea of the approach is the {\it Law of Self-Similar Evolution}, according to which any complex system develops self-similarly. There always exist some internal laws governing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005084096