Showing 1 - 10 of 23,032
asymmetries in U.S. stock returns. Our approach is fully parametric and testing strategy is robust to any conditional … neural networks for testing business cycle nonlinearities in U.S. stock returns. Our results based on nonlinear augmented and … switching time series models show a strong evidence of business cycle asymmetries in conditional mean dynamics of U.S. stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005607427
asymmetries in conditional mean. We provide evidence on this issue using a variety of time series models. Our approach is fully … present. Our results indicate fairly strong evidence of nonlinearities in the conditional mean dynamics of the GDP growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005636520
We investigate business cycle asymmetries in the real GDP of eleven selected Asian economies using nonlinear switching … business cycle asymmetries in all series. Results based on switching and augmented time series models also reveal business … cycle asymmetries in most series studied. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837274
approach, based on the tests of Robinson (1994), introduces fractional integration and nonlinearities simultaneously into the … more activist stabilisation policies. However, any suitable model should also include business cycle asymmetries, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957400
approach, based on the tests of Robinson (1994), introduces fractional integration and nonlinearities simultaneously into the … more activist stabilisation policies. However, any suitable model should also include business cycle asymmetries, with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005320467
In this research we investigate possible existence of nonlinearities in business cycle fluctuations in France and … network linearity tests for possible existence of nonlinearities due to Terasvirta el al. (1993) using in-sample forecasts … from neural nets in France and U.K. show statistically significant evidence of nonlinearities in both the series. Similarly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005012226
This research studies possible existence of business cycle asymmetries in Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, UK …, and US real GDP growth rates. Asymmetries in these countries are modeled using in-sample as well as jackknife out … asymmetries in business cycle fluctuations in all the series; this is corroborated with bivariate analysis, which also finds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010598967
asymmetries in the duration and amplitude of phases in the Caribbean classical cycle, on both measures the Caribbean growth cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769243
The analysis of coincident and leading indicators can help policymakers gauge the short-term direction of economic activity. While such analysis is well established in advanced economies, it has received relatively little attention in many emerging market and developing economies, reflecting in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605176
Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605356