Showing 1 - 10 of 4,335
This study examines the forecasting power of confidence indicators for the Russian economy. ARX models are fitted to … the six confidence or composite indicators, which were then compared to a simple benchmark AR-model. The study used the … output of the five main branches as the reference series. Empirical evidence suggests that confidence indicators do have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010556653
This study examines the contribution of several survey indicators published by the European Commission to forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492393
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 … German cities. Above all, we are interested in whether the local business confidence indicators can allow substantially … tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011128875
Die Visegrad-Staaten - es handelt sich hierbei um Polen, die Slowakei, Tschechien und Ungarn - haben in Mittel- und Osteuropa (MOE) relativ gute Chancen bis spätestens 2006 in die EU aufgenommen zu werden. Das EU-Grenzland Sachsen, dessen Nachbarn zwei der vier Viségad-Länder sind, muss sich...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005010267
, HSAF. By comparing it with the HSAF approach, we give evidence to show that EDFAAF has a more effective forecasting power …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010670008
In this paper we investigate the impact of data revisions on forecasting and model selection procedures. A linear ARMA … real-time monetary aggregate M3 (1977-2000), and residential mortgage credit (1975-1998). The forecasting method we use is … multi-step-ahead non-adaptive forecasting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005839154
The close correlation between economic activity and freight performance is emphasized in numerous international studies. With regard to Austria, timely information on truck mileage has been available since 2004 when Austria introduced road pricing. In this study, truck road pricing data compiled...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005669118
provides an appropriate tool for forecasting Chinese business conditions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005823523
In focusing on the 24 month window prior to the onset of the crisis, the criteria for ranking the indicators presented in our related work does not distinguish between a signal given 12 months prior to the crisis and one given one month prior to the crisis. In what follows we examine this issue,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531924
provides an appropriate tool for forecasting Chinese business conditions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005419594