Granger, Clive; Jeon, Yongil - In: Journal of Applied Statistics 31 (2004) 10, pp. 1227-1240
Akaike information criterion (AIC) and the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). This paper considers several topics: how AIC …, the effect of using a maximum lag on model selection, and the forecasting performance of combining AR(4), AIC, and BIC … and BIC choose lags in autoregressive models on actual series, how models so selected forecast relative to an AR(4) model …