Using the example of Bulgaria, we argue that familiar models of international political economy fail to capture the tension between national sovereignty and access to capital markets experienced by peripheral debtors in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. Existing accounts...

A firm-value model similar to the one proposed by Black and Cox (1976) is considered. Instead of assuming a constant and known default boundary, the default boundary is an unobserved stochastic process. This process has a Brownian component, reflecting the influence of uncertain effects on the...

The defaultable term structure is modeled using stochastic differential equations in Hilbert spaces. This leads to an infinite dimensional model, which is free of arbitrage under a certain drift condition. Furthermore, the model is extended to incorporate ratings based on a Markov chain.

In this article we propose and study a model for stock prices which allows for shot-noise effects. This means that abrupt changes caused by jumps may fade away as time goes by. This model is incomplete. We derive the minimal martingale measure in discrete and continuous time and discuss the...

The two main approaches in credit risk are the structural approach pioneered in Merton (1974) and the reduced-form framework proposed in Jarrow & Turnbull (1995) and in Artzner & Delbaen (1995). The goal of this article is to provide a unified view on both approaches. This is achieved by...

Der Begriff Risiko ist heutzutage durch politische Bewegungen wie KonTraG und Basel II sowie spektakuläre Unternehmenszusammenbrüche in aller Munde. Dabei wird immer wieder darauf hingewiesen, dass die Unternehmen ganzheitliche integrierte Risikomanagement- und controllingsysteme installieren...

Shot-noise processes generalize compound Poisson processes in the following way: a jump (the shot) is followed by a decline (noise). This constitutes a useful model for insurance claims in many circumstances; claims due to natural disasters or self-exciting processes exhibit similar features. We...