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sign restrictions, we disentangle this non-fundamental ?- nancial shock from fundamental shocks to oil supply and demand to … prices in recent years. We de?ne a destabilizing ?nancial shock as a shift in oil prices that is not related to current and … determine their relative importance. We ?nd that shocks to oil demand and supply remain the main drivers of oil price swings …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009392905
destabilize oil prices in recent years. We define a destabilizing financial shock as a shift in oil prices that is not related to … identified with sign restrictions, we disentangle this non-fundamental financial shock from fundamental shocks to oil supply and … demand to determine their relative importance. We find that financial investors in the futures market can destabilize oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643616
economy responds to higher oil prices by increasing aggregate wealth and demand. The results also emphasize the role of other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063101
particular, aggregate demand shocks appear to act as the main transmitters of spillover effects to stock markets during periods … characterised by economic-driven events, while supply-side and oil-specific demand shocks during periods of geopolitical unrest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112400
A Structural VAR model is employed to investigate the effects of monetary and fiscal policy shocks on stock market performance in Germany, UK and the US. A significant number of past studies have concentrated their attention on the relationship between monetary policy and stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608293
We impose a structure on the short-run market inefficiencies in the asset markets and use this structure to identify a structural vector autoregressive model. This novel identification method is based on more reasonable assumptions than the standard approaches and also gives estimates for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556339
This paper investigated the impact of global oil price shocks on China’s stock market, using the ARJI(-ht)-EGARCH model. We separated the volatilities into expected, unexpected and negatively unexpected ones to identify how oil prices influence the stock returns. The results reveal that there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010811127
The uncertainty of a country's economy, especially emerging economies, is partially due to the fluctuating of oil prices. There is also a growing concern about the relationship between oil price and stock markets in developing countries due to their heavy dependence on oil prices co-movements....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702748
impulse response analysis further shows that, in most of the cases, the oil price shock has only an impact on the short time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147706
Oil prices are often considered as a vital economic factor due to the dependence of the world economy on oil. The goal of this paper is to contribute to the literature on the dynamic relationship between oil prices and stock prices under the presence of possible structural breaks in an emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011168537