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markets are prone to bubbles and crashes in experimental settings. Numerous authors employing the SSW framework have …, constant or increasing fundamental values, bubbles and crashes are much less common, appearing when the asset price … significantly deviates from fundamental value at the onset of the experiment. These interpretations hold in presence or absence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010927763
Im Zuge der deutschen Wiedervereinigung wurden die formalen Institutionen in West- und Ostdeutschland schnell angeglichen. Dies galt insbesondere auch für die Kapitelmärkte. Nach Einrichtung eines Wertpapierdepots konnten nun auch Ostdeutsche risikobehaftete Wertpapiere unterschiedlichster Art...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186136
The financial crisis of 2008, which started with an initially well-defined epicenter focused on mortgage backed securities (MBS), has been cascading into a global economic recession, whose increasing severity and uncertain duration has led and is continuing to lead to massive losses and damage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005258358
This research investigates whether the post-earnings announcement equity security price return drift is monotonic but (1) at a different rate than at the time of the earnings announcement, and (2) at different rates for positive unexpected earnings and negative unexpected earnings. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005754542
We develop a learning rule that generalises the well known fading memory learning in the sense that the weights attached to the available time series data are not constant and are updated in light of the forecast error(s). The underlying idea is that confidence in the available data will be low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008559137
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005701680
We build a model in which asset prices are expectationally driven and agents forecast future prices hinging on a combination of fundamental value, trend and inertia. The model has a unique steady state and we investigate its stability. In particular the amount of behavioural heterogeneity in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008555461
In this study, we test whether the overconfidence bias explains several stylized market anomalous, including a short-term continuation (momentum), a long-term reversal in stock returns, high levels of trading volume and excessive volatility. Using data of French stocks market, we find empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004999741
Keynes for the 21st century (by Robert Skidelsky; pp. 8-13) Keywords Keynes, expectations, economic policy Countries covered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010757575
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005664071