We propose a new adequacy test and a graphical evaluation tool for nonlinear dynamic models. The proposed techniques can be applied in any setup where parametric conditional distribution of the data is specified, in particular to models involving conditional volatility, conditional higher...

We propose a new adequacy test and a graphical evaluation tool for nonlinear dynamic models. The proposed techniques can be applied in any setup where parametric conditional distribution of the data is specified, in particular to models involving conditional volatility, conditional higher...

So-called pair copula constructions (PCCs), specifying multivariate distributions only in terms of bivariate building blocks (pair copulas), constitute a flexible class of dependence models. To keep them tractable for inference and model selection, the simplifying assumption, that copulas of...

Downton’s bivariate exponential distribution is one of the most important bivariate distributions in reliability theory. In this paper a simple representation for Downton’s bivariate exponential random vector is given. As an application of this representation, we consider a reliability model...

We propose a new approach to the higher-moment tests for evaluating the standardized error distribution hypothesis of a conditional mean-and-variance model (such as a GARCH-type model). Our key idea is to purge the effect of estimating the conditional mean-and-variance parameters on the...

Empirical studies point to negative crop yield skewness, but the literature provides few clear insights as to why. This paper formalizes three points on the matter. Statistical laws on aggregates do not imply a normal distribution. Whenever the weather-conditioned mean yield has diminishing...

A common class of problem in statistical science is estimating, as a benchmark, the probability of some event under randomness. For example, in a sequence of events in which several outcomes are possible and the length of the sequence and number of outcomes of each type known, the number of runs...

The effects of parameter estimation on the in-control performance of the Shewhart X chart are studied in prospective (phase 2 or stage 2) applications via a thorough examination of the attained false alarm rate (AFAR), the conditional false alarm rate (CFAR), the conditional and the...