Showing 1 - 10 of 8,592
In this paper, we compare the equity returns of dividend-paying and non-dividend paying firms. We find no unconditional … return difference even though non-dividend paying firms have many characteristics that suggest high risk. Equivalently …, because non-dividend paying firms have high risk-metrics, their returns are abnormally low compared with dividend-paying firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011011763
This paper adds new methodology to the existing methods used in the literature of early warning systems and signals approach developed to predict crashes. Results show that the probability of extreme outcomes is much higher before the crises than during the crises. Even though the two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352782
greater than the influence of current shocks from the USA, and for 16 markets, local past volatility has stronger impact than … volatility from the USA. …We explore the degree to which stock index returns and conditional volatility of 21 frontier markets were affected by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010816766
. The resulting trading strategy remains robust even after controlling for outliers, short-term volatility and the January …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010761800
average of real earnings is a good predictor of the present value of future real dividends. This is true even when the … value of future real dividends is roughly a weighted average of moving average earnings and current real price, with between … the behavior of stock prices and returns. We estimate that log dividend-price ratios are more variable than, and virtually …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005249149
The aim of this paper is to investigate the behaviour of international equity returns and correlations using the discrete-time Markov-switching model and the impact of this behaviour on international portfolio choices. We take the perspective of a US-based global investor who considers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352502
This paper examines the causal relationship between real dividends and stock market prices for the USA using the Markov … market prices is consistent with the 'dividend irrelevance theory' which posits that dividends do not have predictive power …-switching vector autoregressive model (MS-VAR). The results indicate that both real dividends and stock market prices have one order of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010756271
exclusion of dividends understates the benefits of diversification and has an influence on optimum portfolio selection and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008755259
. The volatility processes are examined based on the squared and the absolute values of the returns series, and the … stability of the parameters across time is also investigated in both the level and the volatility processes. A method that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011062636
Do the dynamics of net flows to U.S. retail mutual funds affect equity returns in emerging markets? The question merits further examination since retail investors in mutual funds can exert a much greater degree of "control" over these funds via cash injections or redemptions at any time. A VAR...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263718