We employ vector autoregression to test for direct Granger causality among state entrepreneurship, foreign investment, export expansion, and economic growth in Taiwan. We infer hypotheses about the relationships among these variables from the developmentalist, dependency, and statist...

The proposition that democracies are more peaceful than autocracies has spawned a huge literature. Much of the relevant quantitative research has shown that democracies indeed rarely, if ever, fight each other, although they are not necessarily less bellicose than autocracies in general. This...

This analysis compares the incidence of war involvement by countries with comparatively more and less political freedom. It examines the proposition that political freedom promotes peace, as suggested by R. J. Rummel, in its monadic form. Its results indicate that this proposition tends to be...

The proposition that democracies are more peaceful than autocracies has spawned a huge literature. Much of the relevant quantitative research has shown that democracies indeed rarely, if ever, fight each other, although they are not necessarily less bellicose than autocracies in general. This...

This article examines the short-term effects of expensive oil on the supply and demand patterns for conventional weapons. It pools the cross-section and time-series data on petroleum and arms trade, and uses a crossed-error regression model to estimate these effects for three groups of...

An understanding of why states fight wars requires an understanding of why they end wars. These phenomena form interrelated parts of a larger process of interstate bargaining. Yet, compared to the research on the outbreak of wars, there has been much less attention paid to their termination....

An understanding of the belief systems of foreign policy elites is necessary for any meaningful application of both the rational actor and the bureaucratic politics approaches of analysis. This argument is pursued through a case study of the policy debate between Chinese leaders during 1964-66....

In the past quarter of century, the countries located along the Asian side of the Pacific Basin have achieved impressive economic growth and socioeconomic equity. Conventional economic theory and dependencia perspectives are poorly equipped to account for the simultaneous achievement of these...

We investigate the security-welfare relationship in the case of Taiwan. Specifically, we analyze any possible longitudinal relationship between the government's allocations of dollars and personnel to the military on the one hand, and social welfare as measured by the physical quality of life...

We report an attempt to use financial market data to predict the onset of a variety of international crises. A quasi-experimental design for studying interrupted time series data is applied to the historical behavior of the Hong Kong and New York financial markets. The results are generally...