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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010922471
We model electricity futures prices using a seasonal forward curve model, quantifying seasonalities by a deterministic seasonal forward premium. Stochastic features of the futures prices are contained in the stochastic forward premium: a quantity analogous to the well-known convenience yield....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005246261
We model electricity futures prices using a seasonal forward curve model, quantifying seasonalities by a deterministic seasonal forward premium. Stochastic features of the futures prices are contained in the stochastic forward premium: a quantity analogous to the well-known convenience yield....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004966112
Price fluctuations that partially comove with demand are a specific feature inherent to liberalized electricity markets. The regulatory authority in Great Britain, however, believed that sometimes electricity prices were significantly higher than what was expected and, therefore, introduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019914
The growing significance of climate change and carbon financing means it is becoming increasingly important to generically model energy-based assets in a more theoretically consistent and realistic approach. A fundamental feature is supply-demand imbalances and this is modelled by deterministic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352638
Building on the widely-used double-lognormal approach by Bahra (1997), this paper presents a multi-lognormal approach with restrictions to extract risk-neutral probability density functions (RNPs) for various asset classes. The contributions are twofold: first, on the technical side, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646431
This paper describes the current state of the Macedonian electricity sector. It looks at ongoing structural changes, driven by the gradual adoption of the EU acquis on energy, and comes up with estimates for electricity subsidies. It concludes by discussing the longer term outlook and sketching...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839339
, i.e. exhibits seasonality. We propose a stochastic volatility jump–diffusion model to capture this seasonal variation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263470
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008533757
The Brigham Young University Women's Volleyball Team recorded and rated all skills (pass, set, attack, etc.) and recorded rally outcomes (point for BYU, rally continues, point for opponent) for the entire 2006 home volleyball season. Only sequences of events occurring on BYU's side of the net...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005246606