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The purpose of this article is to describe how inflation analysis and forecasting has been carried out in the Bank … methods such as autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), vector autoregressive (VAR) and Bayesian VAR (BVAR) models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005786958
There are doubts regarding the empirical benefits of forecast aggregation. Theoretical research clearly supports forecast aggregation but conflicting results exist in the empirical literature. We search the literature for empirical regularities. One important issue often cited is estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010758680
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010994463
autoregression (BVAR). We treat the world economy as being observed and exogenous to the small economy, rather than unobserved, as … find that the forecasts from a BVAR that uses this DSGE model as a prior are generally more accurate than those from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010815229
monetary policy decision process at the Swiss National Bank. In addition to forecasting the likely course of main macro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008471879
This paper finds that asset prices on Oslo Stock Exchange is the single most important block of data to improve estimates of current quarter GDP in Norway. Other important blocks of data are labor market data and industrial production indicators. We use an approximate dynamic factor model that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063074
monetary policy decision process at the Swiss National Bank. In addition to forecasting the likely course of main macro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008925071
shocks on inflation in Fiji. How the domestic inflation in a pegged exchange rate system is aligned with international price … also shows that due to the exchange rate depreciation, inflation has increased for many years in Fiji. The policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212985
The paper develops a short-run model of a small open financially repressed economy characterized by unorganized money markets, intermediate good imports, capital mobility and flexible exchange rates. The analysis shows that financial liberalization, in the form of increased rate of interest on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773168
convertibility. The analysis shows that the effect of financial liberalization on rate of inflation and the movements of the nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005773210