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Financial Market Spillovers in Transition Economies
Sahay, Ratna; Gelos, Gaston - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2000
This paper examines financial market comovements across European transition economies and compares their experience to that of their regions. Correlations in monthly indices of exchange market pressures can partly be explained by direct trade linkages, but not by measures of other fundamentals....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826010
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Correlations in Emerging Market Bonds; The Role of Local and Global Factors
Hamann, A. Javier; Bunda, Irina; Lall, Subir - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2010
This paper examines the comovement in emerging market bond returns and disentangles the influence of external and domestic factors. The conceptual framework, set in the context of asset allocation, allows us to describe the channels through which shocks originating in a particular emerging or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561082
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The Role of Financial Variables in Predicting Economic Activity in the Euro Area
Lombardi, Marco; Espinoza, Raphael A.; Fornari, Fabio - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2009
The U.S. business cycle typically leads the European cycle by a few quarters and this can be used to forecast euro area GDP. We investigate whether financial variables carry additional information. We use vector autoregressions (VARs) which include the U.S. and the euro area GDPs as a minimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008540921
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Go Long or Short in Pyramids? News From the Egyptian Stock Market
Massa, Isabella; Billmeier, Andreas - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2007
Similar to other emerging economies, the Egyptian stock market has recently experienced a remarkable run-up but also a major downturn. This paper analyzes the stock market from two angles. First, it compares the performance of the major stock price index with its underlying fundamentals. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005604800
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The Jordanian Stock Market; Should You Invest in it for Risk Diversification or Performance?
Petri, Martin; Saadi-Sedik, Tahsin - International Monetary Fund (IMF) - 2006
cointegration techniques, we find that the ASE and other Arab stock markets are cointegrated, which implies little long-run risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263988
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The impact of money supply on stock prices and stock bubbles
Sirucek, Martin - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2012
This article is focused on the effect and implication of a change in the money supply for US capital market. This market was chosen according to his part on the global market capitalization. Namely it is the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), which was chosen according to his long history,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112960
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Investigation of cointegration of oil prices and Russian market indices
Alexeev, Alexander Gennadievich - Department of Economics, European University at St. … - 2010
We perform an econometric analysis of cointegration of the Brent oil price and general and industrial indices of the …. It is interesting to note that a cointegration between the oil price and industrial RTS index is not detected. A … cointegration between the oil price and the general indices is found both for the RTS and the MICEX, and in both cases it is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008794572
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Do macroeconomic variables play any role in the stock market movement in Ghana?
Adam, Anokye M.; Tweneboah, George - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
macroeconomic variables. We analyse quarterly data for the above variables from 1991.1 to 2007.4. employing cointegration test … stock market index and the economic variables. The paper established that there is cointegration between macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789384
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Integration, Kointegration und die Langzeitprognose von Kreditausfallzyklen
Wagatha, Matthias - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007
of comparable VAR that fails to recognize that the system is characterized by cointegration. I use Monte Carlo simulation … knowledge of cointegration rank. Furthermore the results indicate that a cointegration modeling of credit risk should be favored … against the prevalent level or differenced estimation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789941
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The demand for money by private firms in a regulated economy: Theoretical underpinnings and empirical evidence for Germany 1960 - 1998
Bohl, Martin T.; Sell, Friedrich L. - Fakultät für Wirtschafts- und … - 2002
Based on a cash-in-advance approach, this paper investigates theoretically the determinants of money holdings of firms under the conditions of a highly regulated labor market and analyses empirically the demand for money of German businesses during the period 1960-1998. As a result of our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008462103