amplitudes 20-40 percent higher or lower than the long-run trend. Non-oil price super-cycles follow world GDP, indicating they …

…ndings provide an easy-to-use method for conducting mixed data-sampling analysis as well as for forecasting world commodity price …- ket movements - can produce forecasts of quarterly commodity price changes that are superior to those in the previous …

fossil fuels (e.g. starting with coal in the UK in the 17th century, and continuing in the rest of the world with coal and … to the phase of the transition in which revolutions have occurred, and the impact this shock had on the further course of … economies in the early 1970s, in association with the first and second oil price shocks. In practically all mature industrial …

(MENA) countries using threshold cointegration methods. Oil and food price shocks increase domestic prices in the long run …This paper investigates the effects of global oil and food price shocks to consumer prices in Middle East-North African … regulations the more pronounced are the asymmetries. Robustness checks show that international price shocks do not affect GDP …

standard deviation rise in the cocoa price in early life decreases the likelihood of severe mental distress in adulthood by 3 …

Autoregression (SVAR) and Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Model (LiNGAM), we find that wheat price is a cause of conflict events in Sudan …