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probabilities assumed in Knightian decision theory. I argue that some standard uses of classical inference are Knightian in spirit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762490
bandit model with several plays per stage and Bayesian learning. Our analysis involves the Lagrangian relaxation of weakly … coupled dynamic programs (DPs), results contributing to the emerging theory of DP duality, and various approximations. It …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009209132
Recent operations management papers model customers as solving multiarmed bandit problems, positing that consumers use a particular heuristic when choosing among suppliers. These papers then analyze the resulting competition among suppliers and mathematically characterize the equilibrium...
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This paper presents two new procedures for ranking and selection (R&S) problems where the best system designs are selected from a set of competing ones based on multiple performance measures evaluated through stochastic simulation. In the procedures, the performance measures are aggregated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011190773
Ranking and selection (R&S) procedures have been considered an effective tool to solve simulation optimization problems with a discrete and finite decision space. Control variate (CV) is a variance reduction technique that requires no intervention in the way the simulation experiment is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010870336
years (QALYs). Our method integrates a simulation model in a genetic algorithm which uses a probabilistic method for … selection of the best policy. We present computational results about the efficiency of our algorithm. The best policy generated … by our algorithm is compared to previously recommended screening policies. Using the policies determined by our model, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010865044
We consider the problem of finding the best simulated system under a primary performance measure, while also satisfying stochastic constraints on secondary performance measures. We improve upon existing constrained selection procedures by allowing certain systems to become dormant, halting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052495