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This Selected Issues paper for Belgium evaluates whether price increases in Belgium are excessive. It assesses the household and bank balance sheets and their vulnerability to a slowdown in housing prices, and identifies differences in real estate markets between Belgium and other countries. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825451
mortgage interest rate leads to a 20 percent decrease in a typical bank's distance to default. Finally, we look at the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008541450
Housing cycles and their impact on the financial system and the macroeconomy have become the center of attention following the global financial crisis. This paper documents the characteristics of housing cycles in a large set of countries, and examines the determinants of house price movements....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790415
The financial crisis showed, once again, that neglecting real estate booms can have disastrous consequences. In this paper, we spell out the circumstances under which a more active policy agenda on this front would be justified. Then, we offer tentative insights on the pros and cons as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009019603
past two decades. It finds that (i) mortgage markets have experienced rapid development, which has led to lower private per …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008561070
of an emerging real estate bubble. We find that, for China as a whole, the current levels of house prices do not seem …€™ mass-market and luxury segments. Unlike advanced economies before 2007-8, prices have tended to correct frequently in China ….Given persistently low real interest rates, lack of alternative investment and mortgage-to-GDP trend, rapid property price growth in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008777035
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056452
The “Great Recession” has painfully demonstrated the impact of real estate prices on real economic activity. Hence, close examination of real estate price changes is important for business cycle analysis and economic policy. However, most real estate price indices for Germany either exhibit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011151255
Rebalancing in Spain’s private sector is under way, but with more modest progress on reducing stocks. Spain is subject to significant spending pressures, reflecting unfavorable demographic trends and subdued growth prospects, and will require substantial structural reform. Priority...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245500
DISCLAIMER: This Staff Discussion Note represents the views of the authors and does not necessarily represent IMF views or IMF policy. The views expressed herein should be attributed to the authors and not to the IMF, its Executive Board, or its management. Staff Discussion Notes are published...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245885