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Many governments are heavily exposed to oil price risk, especially those dependent on revenue derived from oil production. For these governments, dealing with large price movements is difficult and costly. Traditional approaches, such as stabilization funds, are inherently flawed. Oil risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605340
This paper investigates the contagion from Russia to Brazil in late 1998 under two dimensions— players involved and the timing of events. The data does not seem to reflect a compensatory liquidation of assets story by international institutional investors. It does contribute, however, to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825760
Oil-producing countries have benefited from rising oil prices in recent years. The increase in oil exports and oil revenues has had major implications for these countries. These developments have revealed how governments manage their fiscal policies in light of changing oil-market conditions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245905
shocks that avoid endogeneity and predictability concerns. Estimation results indicate that oil-price shocks have had …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650637
Crude oil prices have been on a run-up spree in recent years. Their dynamics were characterized by high volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826574
interest rates led to high oil price volatility in 2005. Data shows that world economic growth and price stability require …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769161
This paper undertakes an investigation into the efficiency of the crude oil futures market and the forecasting accuracy of futures prices. Efficiency of the market is analysed in terms of the expected excess returns to speculation in the futures market. Accuracy of futures prices is compared...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599690
This paper discusses the rising profile of natural gas in global energy, factors constraining its further development, the gas contracting process, and the absence of a global market, which is analyzed in the context of the economic rent in the gas price and the opaque nature of gas contracts. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605175
options pricing. Calibration to crude oil futures' options shows high volatility of oil futures prices, fat-tailed, and right … findings support the view that demand for futures contracts by investors could lead to excessively high price volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605320
unusual volatility. Those emphasizing fundamentals point to inelastic supply and demand curves, others view the phenomenon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646422