Showing 1 - 10 of 3,798
This paper studies the possible impacts of liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects on natural gas prices on both sides of the U. S.-Mexico border in California. In that state gas prices are high and demand is expected to grow. Several projects for LNG facilities have been proposed and have to cope...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011072862
This Selected Issues paper on Algeria reports that the authorities have relied on an expansionary fiscal stance to stimulate growth and employment, but structural reforms have virtually stalled. Although the economy has recorded increasing growth, the nonhydrocarbon sector remains small and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005591638
Qatar has weathered the global economic crisis well. Enhancement of liquefied natural gas capacity (LNG), government support to the banking system, and increase in public spending sustain the high growth rates. There is a need to monitor aggregate demand to prevent the resurgence of inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245523
This paper discusses the estimation of models of the term structure of interest rates. After reviewing the term structure models, specifically the Nelson-Siegel Model and Affine Term- Structure Model, this paper estimates the terms structure of Treasury bond yields for the United States with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727797
This paper presents some conventional and new measures of market, credit, and liquidity risks for government bonds. These measures are analyzed from the perspective of a sovereign's debt manager. In particular, it examines duration, convexity, M-square, skewness, kurtosis, and VaR statistics as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825661
This paper presents background work that has been the basis for the development of the market and credit risk indicators (MRI and CRI, respectively) as published in the IMF's Global Financial Stability Report (GFSR) since September 2004. The fundamental idea was to build a set of Financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264101
Building on the widely-used double-lognormal approach by Bahra (1997), this paper presents a multi-lognormal approach with restrictions to extract risk-neutral probability density functions (RNPs) for various asset classes. The contributions are twofold: first, on the technical side, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008646431
Estimation of volatility of financial time series plays a crucial role in pricing derivatives. Volatility is often … estimated from historical data; however, it is well known that volatility varies in time. We propose a method to choose a … suitable length of historical data to estimate contemporary volatility. The method is based on adaptation of a procedure used …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005036300
This paper presents a general method for pricing weather derivatives. Specification tests find that a temperature series for Fresno, California follows a mean-reverting Brownian motion process with discrete jumps and ARCH errors. Based on this process, we define an equilibrium pricing model for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005805319
premium constraint under two special distortion risk measures—VaR and TVaR. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116643