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Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience...
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deviations in terms of the premiums on swap-implied US dollar interest rates for the euro, British pound, Hong Kong dollar … was the main driving factor of the negative deviations in the Hong Kong, Japan and Singapore markets. Federal Reserve Swap …
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institutions relied heavily on the foreign-exchange (FX) swap markets for US-dollar funds. This one-sided market induced a risk … premium of the FX swap-implied US-dollar rate across a range of funding currencies, i.e. a deviation from the covered interest … parity (CIP) condition. The turbulence in the global interbank markets therefore spilled over to the FX swap markets …
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the cross currency swap rates and treasury bond yields of 1-month to 4-year tenures by the cointegration testing procedure … suggested by Pesaran, Shin and Smith (PSS). Our empirical results indicate that, at shorter tenures, cross currency swap rates …
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Arbitrage ensures that covered interest parity holds. The condition is central to price foreign exchange forwards and … interbank lending rates, and reflects the efficient functioning of markets. Normally, deviations from arbitrage, if any, last … seconds and reach a few basis points. But after the Lehman bankruptcy, arbitrage broke down. By replicating exactly two major …
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