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transform the risk-neutral density into a ‘real-world’ density that better reflect agents’ actual expectations. This work offers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009024818
We examine the effect of introducing stochastic shocks into a linear rational expectations model with saddlepoint …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005281381
result from a more stable output gap, which is the consequence of a much lower volatility in firms’ investment. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005704690
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706818
in this literature through the analysis of a simple linear rational expectations model. From this exercise we conclude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005572444
Expectations play a major role in macroeconomic dynamics, especially regarding the conduct of monetary policy. Yet …, modeling the interplay between communication, expectations and aggregate outcomes remains a challenging task, mainly because … this requires deviation from the paradigm of rational expectations and perfect information. While agent-based macro models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011208958
This paper investigates the expectation formation process of Japanese stock market professionals. By utilizing a monthly forecast survey dataset on the TOPIX distributed by QUICK Corporation, we sort forecasters into buy-side and sell-side professionals. We empirically demonstrate that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871017
We recast the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in the broader context of general equilibrium with incomplete markets … (GEI). In this setting we give proofs of three properties of CAPM equilibria: they are efficient, asset prices lie on a … depend on covariances, not variances. We extend CAPM to many consumption goods in such a way that all three properties hold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005762656
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005028376
We present a model with leverage and margin constraints that vary across investors and time. We find evidence consistent with each of the model's five central predictions: (1) Because constrained investors bid up high-beta assets, high beta is associated with low alpha, as we find empirically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010718732