The focus of this study is on black markets which provide an important segment of the parallel economy. These markets operate in disequilibrium,search and information costs become very important.Trafficking in drugs taken as case, to explore both theoretically and empirically. The problem,...

Infrastructures, such as plant and services that are critical for the safe and nominal operation of society can be loosely defined as ‘critical infrastructures’ and can take on many different forms e.g. sectoral such as transport systems or components such as high-voltage power lines. The...

We propose a model to assess the credit risk features of fixed income portfolios assuming they can be characterized by two parameters: their default probability and their default correlation. We rely on explicit expressions to assess their credit risk and demonstrate the benefits of our approach...

We consider optimal stopping problems in uncertain environments for an agent assessing utility by virtue of dynamic variational preferences or, equivalently, assessing risk by dynamic convex risk measures. The solution is achieved by generalizing the approach in terms of multiple priors...

We consider long-run behavior of agents assessing risk in terms of dynamic convex risk measures or, equivalently, utility in terms of dynamic variational preferences in an uncertain setting. By virtue of a robust representation, we show that all uncertainty is revealed in the limit and agents...

We examine the conditions for preferences and risks that guarantee monotonicity of equilibrium derivative prices. In a Lucas economy with a derivative, we derive the equilibrium derivative price under expectation with respect to risk-neutral probability, and analyze comparative statics on the...

We consider long-run behavior of agents assessing risk in terms of dynamic convex risk measures or, equivalently, utility in terms of dynamic variational preferences in an uncertain setting. By virtue of a robust representation, we show that all uncertainty is revealed in the limit and agents...

Importance of risk and uncertainty in present period of dynamic changes grows. The article deals with risk and uncertainty in strategic decision making. First the concepts of risk and uncertainty and possibilities of their measurement are discussed. Further shortcomings of strategic decision...

The paper discusses opportunities to utilize the series of micro-blogs as provided by the Twitter in observation of opinion dynamics. The spontaneity of tweets is more, as the service is attached more to the mobile communications. The extraction of information in the series of tweets is...

We extend a continuous-time approximation approach to the analysis of escape dynamics in economic models with constant gain adaptive learning. This approach is based on the application of the results of continuous-time version of large deviations theory to the linear diffusion approximation of...