We propose a new semi-parametric model for the implied volatility surface, which incorporates machine learning algorithms. Given a starting model, a tree-boosting algorithm sequentially minimizes the residuals of observed and estimated implied volatility. To overcome the poor predicting power of...

We propose constructing a set of trading strategies using predicted option returns for a relatively small forecasting period of ten trading days to form profitable hold-to-expiration, equally weighted, zero-cost portfolios based on 1-month at-the-money call and put options. We use a statistical...

We analyze the effects of the financial crisis in credit valuation adjustments (CVA's). Following the arbitrage-free valuation framework presented in Brigo et al. (2009), we consider a model with stochastic Gaussian interest rates and CIR++ default intensities. Departing from previous...

This paper considers the realistic modelling of derivative contracts on exchange rates. We propose a stochastic volatility model that recovers not only the typically observed implied volatility smiles and skews for short dated vanilla foreign exchange options but allows one also to price payoffs...

We derive a closed-form expression for the bilateral credit valuation adjustment of a credit default swap in presence of simultaneous defaults. We develop our analysis under a default intensity model specified by a class of three-dimensional subordinators, allowing for default dependence through...

2001 the first version WARRANT-PRO-2 (0.1) has been presented, see Breitner and Burmester (2002), which optimizes cash settlements for European double-barrier options and warrants. From the viewpoint of financial mathematics, some of the boundary conditions of the partial differential...

This paper focuses on evaluating the credit risk of corporate bond in the fixed income market of Taiwan. We apply Vasicek (1977) model into Merton's (1974) option framework and obtain a closed-form solution of the options model. The solution algorithm employs the Newton-Raphson method in...

This paper considers the pricing of European call options written on pure endowment and deferred life annuity contracts, also known as guaranteed annuity options. These contracts provide a guarantee value at maturity of the option. The contract valuation is dependent on stochastic interest rate...

In this notice we are comment popular approaches to the credit risk modeling.

We consider the joint dynamic of a basket of n-assets where each asset itself follows a SABR stochastic volatility model. Using the Markovian Projection methodology we approximate a univariate displaced diffusion SABR dynamic for the basket to price caps and floors in closed form. This enables...