Recent empirical evidence suggests that stock market index returns are predictable from a variety of financial and macroeconomic variables. We extend this research by examining value and growth portfolios constructed by book-to-market ratio, and consider whether such predictability is evident...

ABSTRACT This paper examines the relationship between stock prices and commodity prices and whether this can be used to forecast stock returns. As both prices are linked to expected future economic performance they should exhibit a long‐run relationship. Moreover, changes in sentiment towards...

Purpose – This paper aims to examine the relationship between the conditional variance of the factors from the Fama–French three-factor model and macroeconomic risk, where macroeconomic risk is proxied by the conditional variance for a default risk premium and real gross domestic product...

The debate regarding rising temperatures and CO₂ emissions has attracted the attention of economists employing recent econometric techniques. This article extends the previous literature using a dataset that covers 800 000 years, as well as a shorter dataset, and examines the interaction...

Recent empirical finance research has suggested the potential for series to exhibit non-linear adjustment to equilibrium. This paper examines a variety of such models and compares their performance with the linear alternative. Using short- and long-term UK interest rates we report evidence that...

Previous research concerned with the investigation of intraday data has typically sought to model that data using techniques to control for intraday periodicity, has applied models of short-horizon and long-horizon dependencies, or has utilised intraday data in the construction of realised...