Gemäß den im Juni 2004 durch den Baseler Ausschuss endgültig verabschiedeten Kapitalstandards (Basel II) sind Kredite in Höhe des so genannten unerwarteten Verlusts mit Eigenkapital zu unterlegen. Für erwartete Verluste hat das jeweilige Kreditinstitut Rückstellungen zu bilden, wobei hier...

<span lang="EN-US"><span style="font-size: small; font-family: Times New Roman;">A retail bank consumer loan dataset is used to develop logistic regression based scoring functions with different definitions of default from a very broad to a narrow or hard. The performance of the scoring functions is compared with respect to the hard definition of default which indicates real...</span></span>

Group-specific estimations can significantly improve the predictive power of accountingbased rating models. This is shown using a binary logistic regression model applied to the Deutsche Bundesbank's USTAN dataset, which contains 300,000 financial statements provided by German companies for the...

In the present document it is exposed in an abstract way the models of credit portfolioes CreditMetricsTM, KMV, CreditRisk+, Credit Portfolio View in such a way that they could be calibrated and implemented in financial institutions where the quality and quantity of credit information is scanty,...

Venezuelan commercial and universal banks, as many banks in the rest of the world, are exposed to financial risks (credit risk, liquidity risk) and to operational risks. In this paper, the main relationships between the risks factors faced by banks and relevant economic variables are analysed,...

This report presents an application of a macro stress testing procedure on credit risk in the Romanian banking system. Macro stress testing, i.e. assessing the vulnerability of financial systems to exceptional but plausible macroeconomic scenarios, maintains a central role in macro-prudential...

Credit risk measurement and management become more important in all financial institutions in the light of the current financial crisis and the global recession. This particularly applies to most of the complex structured financing forms whose risk cannot be quantified with com-mon rating...

The objective of this research is to develop a structural form probability of default model for small and medium-sized enterprises, dealing with the methodological issues which arise in the modelling of small commercial loan portfolios, and to test the applicability of the model in practice....

This paper estimates an early warning system (EWS) for predicting systemic banking crises in a sample of low income countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. Since the average duration of crises in this sample of countries is longer than one year, the predictive performance of standard binomial logit...

The aim of this paper is to put forward a relevant indicator that could help supervisors to regulate the excessive use of leverage which gives rise to systemic risk. We suggest the aggregated leverage ratio named “Global Aggregated Leverage Ratio” (GALR), which encompasses the activity of...