Showing 1 - 10 of 18,383
compared in terms of their actual inflation prediction power considering that output gap estimation is an essential input in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010991017
We review some recent papers on a large dynamic factor model (LDFM) and its applications to structural macroeconomic analysis. Then we prove some convergence results concerning with the stochastic variables which define such a model.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009653229
In this work we review some recent papers concerned with large dynamic factor model (LDFM) and its applications to structural macroeconomic analysis. Using this theory, we present a new empirical application on the effects of technology and non technology shocks on hours worked.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010575291
We develop new procedures for maximum likelihood estimation of affine term structure models with spanned or unspanned … produces the same estimator as maximizing the likelihood. It improves the numerical behavior of estimation by eliminating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011190721
"This paper investigates the time-varying relationship between German output and employment growth, in particular their decoupling in recent years. We estimate a correlated unobserved components model that allows for both persistent and cyclical time variation in the employment impact of GDP as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010891246
traditional classification of shocks as permanent and transitory, and we do this by introducing a mixed shock. The extra shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010854937
This paper examines the modelling complications that appear when some macroeconomic behavioral relationships interact with structural variables, even under a given A matrix. The main problem is concretized for the situation when, a) the final consumption, gross fixed capital formation, inventory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258652
The paper focuses on establishing causation in regression analysis in observational settings. Simple static regression analysis cannot establish causality in the absence of a priori theory on possible causal mechanisms or controlled and randomized experiments. However, two regression based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009369425
In this paper we establish the consistency of the model selection criterion based on the quasi-marginal likelihood obtained from Laplace-type estimators (LTE). We consider cases in which parameters are strongly identified, weakly identified and partially identified. Our Monte Carlo results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010746937
There is a growing consensus that part of the surge in government bond spreads during the EMU debt crisis can be explained by wake-up-call contagion. Evidence on pure contagion however is very mixed and there are no insights into the dynamics of these effects. As a contribution to fill this gap,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010769215