Caldeira, João; Furlani, Luiz - In: Economics Bulletin 31 (2011) 2, pp. 1379-1390
This paper examines, for the Brazilian case, if break-even inflation rates (BEIR) extracted from fixed income securities are an unbiased estimator of consumer inflation, measured by the CPI. Our estimates suggest that BEIRs are informative about future inflation, especially for the maturity of...