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and CDS rates behave in a much closer way than previous studies have shown. We also find that high equity volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005771833
on the BS implied volatility. Implied binomial trees (IBT) models capture the variations of the implied volatility known … as \volatility smile". They provide a discrete approximation to the continuous risk neutral process for the underlying … Barle and Cakici (BC). After the formation of IBT we can estimate the implied local volatility and the state price density …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005677880
Many models have been suggested to describe how investors manage risk and value risky cash flows. Among them, the most widely used is the Sharpe-Lintner-Black Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). However many anomalies and evidence against this version have been presented. To assume that the CAPM...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005434714
In this paper we compare market prices of credit default swaps with model prices. We show that a simple reduced form model with a constant recovery rate outperforms the market practice of directly comparing bonds' credit spreads to default swap premiums. We find that the model works well for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005413092
We propose a new semi-parametric model for the implied volatility surface, which incorporates machine learning … implied volatility. To overcome the poor predicting power of existing models, we include a grid in the region of interest, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005453978
Why are spreads on corporate bonds so wide relative to expected losses from default? The spread on Baa-rated bonds, for example, has been about four times the expected loss. We suggest that the most commonly cited explanations – taxes, liquidity and systematic diffusive risk – are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063360
We estimate arbitrage-free term structure models of US Treasury yields and spreads on BBB and Brated corporate bonds in a doubly-stochastic intensity-based framework. A novel feature of our analysis is the inclusion of macroeconomic variables – indicators of real activity, inflation and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063368
This paper proposes a GARCH-type model allowing for time-varying volatility, skewness and kurtosis. The model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004972691
This chapter deals with the estimation of risk neutral distributions for pricing index options resulting from the hypothesis of the risk neutral valuation principle. After justifying this hypothesis, we shall focus on parametric estimation methods for the risk neutral density functions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008492664
Abstract: In this paper we compare market prices of credit default swaps with model prices. We show that a simple reduced form model with a constant recovery rate outperforms the market practice of directly comparing bonds' credit spreads to default swap premiums. We find that the model works...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731658