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A burgeoning literature in the neurosciences suggests that individuals modify their behavior not only in response to their own experiences, but also from what they learn about the experiences of others engaged in similar tasks. Importantly, these different forms of learning are associated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010856248
There is substantial evidence that the decisions of experienced and inexperienced agents differ in ways that impact both individual earnings and aggregate market outcomes. Typically, such evidence is gathered by studying experience as it accumulates within subjects. We examine a new question;...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010862299
Costly information acquisition is introduced into a dynamic trading model of Glosten and Milgrom (1985). The market maker and some traders, called "value traders," value the asset at its fundamental value, which can be either high or low. The remaining traders, called "liquidity traders," have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886279
In an asset-pricing model, risk-averse agents need to forecast the conditional variance of a stock's return. A near-rational restricted perceptions equilibrium exists in which agents believe prices follow a random walk with a conditional variance that is self-fulfilling. When agents estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904149
We consider an experimental setting where traders in stock markets or exchange rate markets receive one stylized piece of information at a time about the value of an asset. We find that having limited knowledge about the prior distribution of true asset values does not hamper the decision making...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904290
This paper is a generalization of [Calvet, L., Grandmont, J.-M., Lemaire, I., 2002. Aggregation of heterogenous beliefs and asset pricing in complete financial markets. Working paper] to a dynamic setting. We propose a method to aggregate heterogeneous individual probability beliefs, in dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905144
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010905321
This paper quantitatively accounts for the cyclical dynamics of key macroeconomic housing and mortgage market variables using a tractable, search-theoretic model of housing with equilibrium mortgage default. To explain these dynamics, the model highlights the importance of liquidity spirals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933610
This paper investigates the macroeconomic effects of search risk in the housing market. To do so, I introduce a tractable directed search model of housing with mul- tidimensional buyer and seller heterogeneity. I incorporate this framework in an in- complete markets macroeconomic model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010933613
basic questions within that model. We review the empirical literature through the lens of the theory, using the theory to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010951230