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asset volatility, particularly in estimation of the intrinsic value of stock options. …Volatility is one of the most important characteristics of any financial instrument return. The idea which states that … volatility of financial assets and it corresponds well with the efficient market hypothesis. Therefore, all volatility models use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010599754
analyze empirical results for a selection of existing realized measures of volatility and incorporate them in a Realized GARCH … framework for the joint modeling of returns and realized measures of volatility. An influential bias in these measures is … over time, which stresses the importance of careful modeling and forecasting of volatility. We show that improved model fit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010945126
volatility, correlation, beta, quadratic variation, jump variation, and other functionals of an underlying continuous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010834073
prices. We empirically assess efficiency gains in volatility estimation when using range-based estimators as opposed to … simple daily ranges and explore the use of these more efficient volatility measures as predictors of daily ranges. The array … forecasts are produced by a realized range based HAR model with a GARCH volatility-of-volatility component. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099986
The current work undertakes an overview of the forecasting volatility with high frequency data topic, attempting to … answer to the fundamental latency problem of return volatility. It surveys the most relevant aspects of the volatility topic …, suggesting advantages and disadvantages of each alternative in modeling. It reviews the concept of realized volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151358
__Abstract__ The paper investigates the impact of jumps in forecasting co-volatility, accommodating leverage effects … positive definite. Using this approach we can disentangle the estimates of the integrated co-volatility matrix and jump … indicate that the co-jumps of two assets have a significant impact on future co-volatility, but that the impact is negligible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011274348
This paper offers empirical evidence on the power of Sornette et al's [2001] model of bubbles and crashes regarding the German stock market between 1960 and 2009. We identify relevant time periods and describe them with the function given by Sornette et al's model. Our results show some evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009003596
, volatility spillovers from the Chinese stock market to economic neighbours, a detailed comparison of Value-at-Risk estimates, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907434
This paper investigates dynamic currency hedging benefits, with a further focus on the impact of currency hedging before and during the recent financial crises originated from the subprime and the Euro sovereign bonds. We take the point of view of a Euro-based institutional investor who...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041518
This article attempts to examine whether the equity premium in the United States can be predicted from a com-prehensive set of 18 economic and financial predictors over a monthly out-of-sample period of 2000:2 to 2011:12, using an in-sample period of 1990:2-2000:1. To do so, we consider, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010936606