In Albers & Albers (Spring, 2013) we demonstrated that the historic development of U.S. real GNP, 1869-present, may be structured in recurring 14-year periods. A steady-state rate of growth of 3.4969% is thereby calculated, generating an increase in real GNP proportional to the famous “Golden...

This volume – Predicting Crisis: Five Essays on the Mathematic Prediction of Economic and Social Crises – is the first of three sets of essays. In this first set the economic and social history of the United States is shown to be a “system of movement,” i.e. a logical and mathematic...

Ever since the adoption of the symbiosis of mathematical analytical methods and marginalism in economics, there has been a tendency of negligence in the sense that it is seldom to ask the dual question: what are the fundamental assumptions on which the above approach is resting and are they...

The present financial and economic crisis has revealed a systemic failure of academic economics and emphasized the need to re-think how to model economic phenomena. Lawson (2009) seems concerned that critics of standard models now will fill academic journals with contributions that make the same...

This paper contributes to industrial development methodology by advancing a simple matrix that can be used to assist policy makers to determine priorities for developing different sectors (Strategic Industry Units or SIUs) of their economies. It presents the matrix, illustrates how it was used...

One of the more intractable problems in the area of monetary economics is the measurement of cash payments. Whereas the stock of currency in circulation [C] is well defined and readily measured, the transactions velocity of currency [Vc] (the average number of times currency turns over in any...