Over the past decade, China’s growth model has become more reliant on investment and its footprint in global imports has widened substantially. Several economies within China’s supply chain are increasingly exposed to its investment-led growth and face growing risks from a...

Global imbalances have been a central theme of the international economic policy debate for much of the last decade, prompted by large and sustained current account deficits in the U.S. and counterpart surpluses in China, Germany, and among many of the oil producers. This paper focuses on the...

We assess the effectiveness of macroprudential policies against a number of different indicators of property sector activity and financial stability. At the cross-country level the use of LTV caps decelerates property price growth. Both LTV and DTI caps slow property lending growth. LTV caps...

This paper searches for an appropriate exchange rate regime and provide a broad guideline for exchange rate management for Thailand in the medium term. An appropriate exchange rate regime is defined to be a credible regime that is most desirable. Our findings are in agreement with the flexible...

Sharp increase in house prices combined with the extraordinary lending growth in Mainland China during 2009 has led to concerns of an emerging real estate bubble. We find that, for China as a whole, the current levels of house prices do not seem significantly higher than would be justified by...

This paper identifies policy challenges to the skill formation process in Thailand. Specifically, we examine whether the foundation of current policies help foster skill acquisition and prepare our labor force well for heightened competition in the 21st century. Human capital is a major source...

We model relationships within as well as between two economic regions—Thailand and the rest of the world—and quantify changes in the spillover relationship between international forces and key Thai macroeconomic variables after the adoption of inflation targeting (2000-2008). Within the same...