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This paper characterizes the asymptotic behaviour, as the number of assets gets arbitrarily large, of the portfolio weights for the class of tangency portfolios belonging to the Markowitz paradigm. It is assumed that the joint distribution of asset returns is characterized by a general factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765686
We develop a multivariate dynamic term structure model, which takes into account the nonlinear (time-varying) relation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010906183
to model and forecast various financial time series. In the empirical section, an application is provided to model the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010938020
. Technically, they allow for potential time-varying stationarity. After discussing both aspects with reference to the recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958750
denominator. Further, the risk adjustment is based on assumptions about the time series properties of residual income return and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293656
The recent financial crisis has seen huge swings in corporate bond spreads. It is analyzed what quality VAR-based forecasts would have had prior and during the crisis period. Given that forecasts of the mean of interest rates or financial market prices are subject to large uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010837046
Recent theoretical works have found a link between return sign forecastability and conditional volatility. This paper compares the predictive performance of the conditional country risk and the conditional residual risk in forecasting the direction of change in the return on the UK stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010666258
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706595
, including determinants of market and idiosyncratic volatilities. Flexibility in the time varying level of mean reversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004974501
In this paper we investigate whether the currency risk is priced in international stock markets. We suggest a parsimonious version of the international capital asset pricing model with an EGARCH-M(1,1) specification of the second moments' dynamics of stock and currency returns, assuming that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106469