Showing 1 - 10 of 10,408
This paper investigates the impact of both exchange rate and futures price volatility on bilateral cereals exports from … negative impact on French cereals trade. Surprisingly, we nd also that higher futures price volatility is associated with …, we nd that realized futures price volatility has a significant and positive impact on French exports of four commodities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011147847
Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange … deviate the value of implied volatility from the exchange rate variability expected by the market. These biasing factors are … one month. However, implied volatility provides a biased estimate, and does not encompass the information included in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005562374
We find evidences of significant volatility co-movements and/ or spillover from different financial markets to forex … market for Indian economy. Among a large number of variables examined, volatility spillovers from stock market, government … to be most important. Empirical findings also indicate that the volatility spillover differed across variables in terms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886827
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005062843
Gram-Charlier expansion have become popular in Finance as a generalization over the normality assumption. Even though Gram-Charlier expansions allow for a certain flexibility over skewness and kurtosis they have the unfortunate drawback of sometimes yielding negative densities. The goal of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005487055
This paper analyses the incentives of the equityholders of a leveraged company to shut it down in a continuous time, stochastic environment. Keeping the firm as an ongoing concern has an option value but equity and debt holders value it differently. Equityholders' decisions exhibit excessive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005639422
implied Risk-Neutral Densities (RND). These are: 1) mixture of lognormals (MXL); and, 2) volatility function technique (VFT …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009143772
This paper investigates the forecasting ability of survey data on exchange rate expectations with multiple forecast horizons. The survey forecasts are on the exchange rates of five Central and Eastern European currencies: Czech Koruna, Hungarian Forint, Polish Zloty, Romanian Leu and Slovakian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009145967
Forward exchange rate bias explanation generally falls into two categories – assumption of rational expectation resulting in a risk premium and expectation errors which is systematic. The paper tests the bias in the Indian forward exchange markets using one-month and three month forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111648
This paper uses currency option data from the BMF, the Commodities and Futures exchange in Sao Paulo, Brazil, to investigate market expectations on the Brazilian Real-U.S. dollar exchange rate from October 1994 through March 1999. Using options data, we derive implied probability density...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005625762